愛立信在 2012 年世界通訊行動大會 (MWC) 上所揭示的內容，今年電信產業將有幾個重要趨勢，其中包含智慧型手機帶來數據海嘯的影響，LTE 與小細胞 (small cell) 的成熟運用，數位化生活下引發的多元溝通方式，使用者體驗倍受重視，網路優化的重要性日益劇增等現象，透過行動、寬頻與雲端這三股勢力，共同催生網路型社會成為現在進行式。
展望未來，資通訊技術正在以前所未有的速度融合，形成無所不在的「創造力網路」，為社會提供整合智慧化的公共基礎建設，進而徹底改變人們的溝通及生活方式，並推動跨領域與產業的創新。
HSPA的持續演進與成熟產業鏈的結合，提供了完美的用戶體驗，帶動全球行動寬頻用戶數在2011年達到10億左右，較2010年成長4億多。HSPA+ 21Mbps已經成為全球主流行動寬頻網路，商用HSPA+ 42Mbps網路也已增加至49個。HSPA+網路整體性能大幅提升，在很多場合已經能提供媲美甚至超越固網寬頻的用戶體驗。HSPA+結合提供超過3,200款終端的成熟產業鏈，尤其是涵蓋高、中、低端的智慧型手機及各種平板裝置，大力推動著行動產業與網際網路的融合。
3G時代，全球從首個試驗網路到第一個商用建置，花費整整3年的時間；HSPA技術從試驗到商用網路，則用了1年時間，而LTE的此一過程只耗時不到9個月。預計到2016年，WCDMA/HSPA網路將覆蓋超過全球 80% 人口(2011年為40%覆蓋率)，而LTE網路也能達成近40%的人口覆蓋率。背後其實有一項重要設定基礎：LTE在過去所呈現出的快速建置態勢仍將延續，過去WCDMA/HSPA耗時10年才能達到的覆蓋面積與用戶數，LTE以7年時間就實現了。
隨著HSPA和LTE的加速發展，行動寬頻將成為主流。在2016年80多億行動用戶中(不包含M2M及其他連網設備)，行動寬頻用戶數量將接近50億，其中超過40億是手持設備，其中又以智慧型手機為主，而行動PC及平板電腦的用戶數也將超過固網寬頻用戶數。智慧型手機與平板電腦，是資通訊技術加速融合的產物。終端硬體處理能力的提升與周邊應用程式開發體系的日益完備，將打破行動網路應用終端瓶頸，推動行動網路成為網際網路的主戰場。
2011年，雲端運算產業創新及關注焦點集中在針對消費者的雲端應用與服務。背後的主要驅動因素，是行動網際網路快速發展，所帶來的消費者隨時隨地「消費」需求。愛立信與Akamai 雙方合作的行動雲端加速解決方案(MCA：Mobile Cloud Accelerator)已經取得成效，顯著減少了在移動設備上70％的頁面所需的時間。
越來越多的消費者同時擁有多個終端設備，他們希望在使用任何終端連網時，身份能夠被識別而無需多次重複登錄。不論透過固定或行動的連結方式，他們期望整合網路不需要分辨其中差別，不管應用的複雜程度為何，都能提供用戶相同的高品質服務。能支援這些需求的，將是跨終端的統一的環境，亦即某種雲端服務。愛立信認為雲端運算包括三項要素：運算、儲存與網路。這三項要素的發展程度有所不同，但最終目標都是降低其總和成本，亦即降低雲端運算費用，進而減少網路型社會的創新成本。
愛立信消費者行為研究室(Consumer Lab)調查發現，消費者對網路的依賴持續加深，數位化生活趨勢更加明顯。越來越多的消費者全年無休保持網路與手機連結，比以往任何時候都更加依賴網路。全球40%的智慧型手機用戶，在未起床之前就開始造訪網際網路。台灣智慧型手機使用現況研究更指出，通勤時段是台灣智慧型手機用戶一天內的使用高峰。超過60%台灣地區的智慧型手機用戶，在通勤途中會使用手機玩線上遊戲、聽音樂、收發電子郵件等。台灣民眾看電視同時會利用最隨手可得的工具，如手機瀏覽網頁、使用社群網站或部落格、線上聊天或講電話等。
行動寬頻大規模建置、智慧終端設備普及、上層應用完備發展的三大因素帶動行動數據流量爆炸式成長。全球2011年智慧型手機總流量相比前年成長約兩倍，2016年時行動數據流量將較2010年成長10倍。屆時，來自智慧型手機等行動終端的數據流量，將與來自PC及平板電腦的數據流量相當。面對此一挑戰，愛立信認為網路本身，就是營運商最主要及最具競爭力的資產，因此強化網路本身能力，增強型智慧管道(註1)與多層次異質網路 (註2)將成為營運商的自然選擇。
智慧管道是營運商開展流量經營的基礎，並已經取得業界共識。過去兩年，營運商已經展開建置策略與計費控制(PCC)功能。為了進一步提升使用者的數據服務體驗，需要考慮增強型智慧管道：針對多連結網路的整合策略控制及內容的加速(CDN)。智慧管道有效識別來自不同連結方式，例如，WiFi或是固網及行動寬頻網路的數據數據流量，藉以實現數據流量的可管控與合理分流承載，提供內容暫存與加速等功能，減少內容傳送時間並提昇使用者感受，同時也能降低了營運商傳遞成本。
Ericsson revealed in the 2012 World Communication Action Conference (MWC), the telecom industry this year, there will be several important trends, which includes the maturity of the smart phones bring the data tsunami, LTE and small cell (small cell) use of life caused multiple means of communication, user experience is highly valued, network optimization, the importance of growing surge, jointly gave birth to a web-based society through action, broadband and the cloud of these three forces become now proceed to ceremony.
Looking to the future, information and communications technology is at an unprecedented rate convergence, ubiquitous “creative network, to integrate the wisdom of the public infrastructure for the community, and then completely change the way people communicate and live, and to promote cross-sectoral and industryinnovation.
Action + broadband network capacity, and to lay the network-based society based on communication and lifestyle change people’s
Of HSPA continued to evolve and mature industrial chain combination provides the perfect user experience to drive the global mobile broadband subscribers in 2011 to reach about 1 billion, compared with 2010 growth of more than 400 million. HSPA + 21Mbps has become the mainstream of the global mobile broadband networks, business of HSPA + 42Mbps Network has been increased to 49. HSPA + network overall performance significantly improved on many occasions been able to provide comparable or even surpass fixed broadband user experience. HSPA + combined with the mature industrial chain of more than 3,200 models of the terminal, in particular, cover, and low-end smart phones and a variety of tablet devices, and vigorously promote the integration of the mobile industry and the Internet.
The development of HSPA and LTE each other, the global mobile broadband infrastructure will shape
3G era, the world’s first pilot network to the first commercial implementation, spent three full years; HSPA technology from the trials to the commercial network, with a year’s time, this process of LTE only time-consuming to nine months. Expected in 2016, WCDMA / HSPA network will cover more than 80% of the population (in 2011 40% coverage), and LTE networks can reach nearly 40% population coverage. In fact the basis of an important set: rapidly deploy LTE in the past, present trend will continue, WCDMA / HSPA took 10 years to reach the coverage area and number of users in the past, LTE in seven years to achieve.
Mobile network applications become the main battlefield of Internet innovation and change
With the accelerated development of HSPA and LTE, mobile broadband will become the mainstream. M2M and other networked devices in more than 80 million mobile users in 2016 (does not contain), the number of mobile broadband users will be close to 5 billion, of which more than 4 billion handheld devices, which mainly in the smart phone, mobile PC and Tablet PC users will exceed fixed-line broadband users. Smart phones and tablet PCs, accelerate the integration of information and communications technology products. Increasing processing capabilities of the terminal hardware upgrade and the surrounding application development system is complete, will break the application terminal of the mobile network bottlenecks, and promote the mobile network to become the main battlefield of the Internet.
Cloud depicts the network society
2011, the cloud computing industry innovation and is focused on the cloud applications and services for consumers. The main drivers behind the rapid development of the mobile Internet brought consumers anytime, anywhere “consumer” demand. Ericsson and Akamai both sides action cloud acceleration solutions (MCA: Mobile Cloud Accelerator,) has been made effective, significantly reducing the time required in 70% of the mobile devices page.
More and more consumers have more than one terminal equipment, they want to use any terminal networking, identity can be identified without having to repeatedly log. Either through fixed or mobile links, they expect to integrate the network does not distinguish between which the difference, regardless of the complexity of the application and can provide users the same high quality service.To support these requirements, will be inter-terminal unified environment, that is some kind of cloud services. Ericsson believes that cloud computing to include three elements: computing, storage and network. The degree of development of these three elements are different, but the ultimate goal is to reduce the total cost, that is, reduce the cost of cloud computing, thereby reducing the cost of web-based social innovation.
The digitization of living improve, promote more communication
Ericsson Consumer Behavior Research (Consumer Lab) survey found that consumers rely on the network continues to deepen, digitized lifestyle trends are more obvious. More and more consumers year round to keep the Internet and mobile phone links, and more dependent on the network than ever before. 40% of smartphone users, and began to get up before the visit to the Internet. Taiwan smartphone to use the current situation, commuter peak usage periods is the day of the smart mobile phone users in Taiwan. The smart phone users, more than 60% in Taiwan in the commute will use mobile phones to play online games, listening to music, send and receive e-mail. Taiwan people watching TV will make use of the most readily available tools such as mobile phones to browse the web, use social networking sites or blogs, online chat or talk on the phone.
Meet the tsunami of data, intellectual pipeline and multi-level heterogeneous network to create the best user experience
Large-scale build of mobile broadband, smart terminal device popularity of the upper layer application complete development of the three factors have led to the explosive growth of mobile data traffic. 2011 smartphone the total flow compared to the previous year growth of about twice that in 2016 mobile data traffic will grow 10 times over 2010. Then, the data traffic from smartphones and other mobile terminals, considerable data traffic from the PC and Tablet PC. Faced with this challenge, Ericsson believes that the network itself, the operator is the most important and most competitive assets, and therefore strengthen the capacity of the network itself, enhanced the wisdom pipeline (Note 1) with multi-level heterogeneous network (Note 2 ) will become the operator of natural selection.
Note 1:
The wisdom of pipeline operators to carry out traffic operating on the basis, and has achieved industry consensus. In the past two years, operators have already started to build the Policy and Charging Control (PCC). To further enhance the experience of the user’s data services, the need to consider the enhanced intelligence channels: the acceleration of the integration of multi-link network policy control and content (CDN). The wisdom of the pipeline to effectively identify from a different connection method, WiFi or fixed line and mobile broadband networks, for example, data traffic in order to achieve data flow control and reasonable shunt carrying the contents of the temporary acceleration and reduce content delivery time and enhance users’ feelings, but also can reduce the cost of the operators to pass.
Note 2:
Multi-level heterogeneous network (Heterogeneous Networks), user-intensive hotspots through a number of wireless technologies, wireless infrastructure and backhaul technology integrated use of elastic network, effectively improve the performance of data services in different wireless environments to ensure that users experience, whether it is in a different wireless community location (especially the edge of the wireless community) and different times, can remain stable.
[The central network
